Abstract
The climate-health nexus is well documented in the field of biometeorology. Since its inception, Biometeorology has in many ways become the umbrella under which much of this collaborative research has been conducted. Whilst a range of review papers have considered the development of biometeorological research and its coverage in this journal, and a few have reviewed the literature on specific diseases, none have focused on the sub-field of climate and health as a whole. Since its first issue in 1957, the International Journal of Biometeorology has published a total of 2183 papers that broadly consider human health and its relationship with climate. In this review, we identify a total of 180 (8.3%, n = 2183) of these papers that specifically focus on the intersection between meteorological variables and specific, named diagnosable diseases, and explore the publication trends thereof. The number of publications on climate and health in the journal increases considerably since 2011. The largest number of publications on the topic was in 2017 (18) followed by 2021 (17). Of the 180 studies conducted, respiratory diseases accounted for 37.2% of the publications, cardiovascular disease 17%, and cerebrovascular disease 11.1%. The literature on climate and health in the journal is dominated by studies from the global North, with a particular focus on Asia and Europe. Only 2.2% and 8.3% of these studies explore empirical evidence from the African continent and South America respectively. These findings highlight the importance of continued research on climate and human health, especially in low- and lower-middle-income countries, the populations of which are more vulnerable to climate-sensitive illnesses.
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Introduction
The history and the development of the International Society of Biometeorology are well documented in the International Journal of Biometeorology (Tromp 1957; International Society of Biometeorology 1975, 1981; Keatley 2017). Since its inception, the International Journal of Biometeorology has not only been true to its international scope, but also to the variety of studies it has published that span across various fields of research (Sheridan and Allen 2017; Fitchett 2021). The role of climate on health has been known for millennia, yet the deliberate study of the aetiology and statistical analysis have been more recent, and a key component of biometeorology, since the inception of the society and the first issue of the journal (Tromp 1956). Increased incidence of respiratory and cardiovascular disease (CDC 2022), injuries and early deaths from extreme weather events (CDC 2022), changes in the prevalence and geographic distribution of food- and water-borne illnesses and other infectious diseases, and threats to mental health are some of the health effects that are worsened by a change in climate (CDC 2022; Krüger et al. 2022). Changes in climate and climatic variability, particularly changes in the frequency, intensity, and distribution of weather extremes, affect the environment that provides us with clean air, food, water, shelter, and security (Wu et al. 2016; Wang et al. 2017). Given that the impacts of climate change are projected to increase over the next century, existing climate-sensitive health threats will intensify and new health threats may emerge particularly in regions situated in the Southern Hemisphere and regions in Europe with an ageing population (Caini et al. 2018). The studies published in the International Journal of Biometeorology on the impact of various meteorological variables on disease are important as their findings not only help classify the severity of the situation but also assist in better understanding how climatically sensitive these diseases are (Hewitt and Griggs 2004). This journal serves as an important platform, encouraging from its inception the collaboration between climatologists, health practitioners, and a range of other interdisciplinary actors (Sheridan and Allen 2017). This subsequently allows for the development of effective methods for minimizing the effects of climate change on health (Tromp 1957).
Three review papers on health biometeorology have been published in the International Journal of Biometeorology. Cheng et al. (2019) reviewed the impacts of exposure to ambient temperature on the burden of diseases; Hossain et al. (2019) examined the relationship between sociodemographic factors, climate, and respiratory tract infections in the literature; and Jahan et al. (2020) published a review on the relationship between schizophrenia and seasonality. These papers made important contributions in synthesizing the research for specific medical conditions, However, this study presents the first systematic review that considers the subdiscipline of health biometeorology as a whole, reflecting on the geographic distribution of studies, the diseases investigated, the specific meteorological variables investigated, and the growth in this thematic area within the journal from 1957 to April 2022. This review paper contributes to the ongoing reflective and reflexive efforts of this journal and relatively new discipline in tracking the growth and impact of research. It is also valuable in evaluating whether the trends in the literature align with the key global challenges faced at present.
The establishment of health biometeorology research
The meteorologist Franz Linke (1878–1944) formalized the academic theme of medical meteorology (Tromp 1963). Rather than concentrating on independent meteorological components, Linke examined the connection between complexes of weather conditions factors, for example, such as frontal passages and air masses with biological events (Tromp 1977). To acquire vital information, Linke established bioclimatological stations across Germany and started to give clinical meteorological gauges in light of measurable meteorological examinations (Tromp 1967, 1977). To convey the outcomes, Linke established, along with Austrian partners, the main journal committed to bioclimatology, the ‘Bioklimatische Beiblätter’ as an enhancement to the Austrian ‘Meteorologische Zeitschrift’ (de Rudder 1931; International Society of Biometeorology and Bioclimatology 1957). The journal integrated a few previously divergent disciplines, including physics, medicine, botany, and geography, that were relevant to the interdisciplinary study of biology and the climate (International Society of Biometeorology and Bioclimatology 1957). Parallel to the holistic movement, a few German meteorologists and doctors concentrated on the Hippocratic theories on the connection between weather and health through unbiased and more logical methodologies (Tromp 1963, 1966). Regardless of the revolution in medication that brought about germ theory, bacteriology, and parasitology as focal ideas in medication, more established Hippocratic convictions about the natural reasons for sickness continued (Lieth 1988). These thoughts were communicated in various structures, subject to the nearby setting and the expectations of the people who embraced them (Tromp 1966; Brezina 1938).
Holistic values underscored an organic perspective on man as a patient, creating opportunities for natural healing, for example, climatotherapy (Bynum 1994). The theoretical, order Hippocratic idea that climatic fluctuation caused sickness was embraced in the logically arranged approaches of Petersen (1935), de Rudder (1931), and others, which became known as ‘bioclimatology’ or ‘biometeorology’. Considering the longing to understand the link between man and his environment, it is not surprising that this concept was selected amongst the many other Hippocratic theories (Weihe 1967). To follow the onset of disease, which is a diversion from the healthy state, it was sensible to look for related changes in the environment, the climate, or the weather (Tromp 1977). It was unanticipated that during the 1920s meteorologists would have made great leaps forward in how they might interpret changes in the climate; thus, scientists such as de Rudder (1931) and Petersen (1935) began to concentrate on how the onset of diseases is related to large scale atmospheric movements (de Rudder 1931; Petersen 1935). However, It is less certain how more subtle environmental factors play a role in the origin of diseases (Wu et al. 2016).
Biometeorology is the field that studies relationships between living organisms and their surroundings, with its sub-branch of human biometeorology dedicated to issues concerning human health (Tromp 1977). These fields are multidisciplinary, combining biology or medicine with meteorology and climatology (Folk 2013). Around 1950, biometeorological topics were studied by dispersed and isolated individual scientists with various backgrounds (McGregor 2012). A need was felt to organize these efforts into a new discipline with its institutions in the form of a society, a journal, dedicated conferences, and study groups (Folk 2013). The discipline was formalized in the 1950s with the establishment of the International Society of Biometeorology and its flagship journal in 1956 and 1957 respectively (Folk 2013). Studies such as these bring us to the modern-day and subsequently increase in recognition of the need to statistically engage in the relationship between climate and human health. For this reason, this study focuses specifically on empirical papers that use a statistical approach with meteorological data and case data.
Methods
The methodology employed in this review is adapted from previous discipline-specific reviews in the International Journal of Biometeorology, which consider only those papers published within the journal (Beggs et al. 2017; Donnelly and Yu 2017; Hondula et al. 2017; Sheridan and Allen 2017). The SpringerLink search function on the International Journal of Biometeorology webpage was used in the data acquisition process of this review, from which search words were applied across all published papers within the journal. An initial search was conducted for research papers using the phrase ‘human health’, returning all papers in which both ‘human’ and ‘health’ are mentioned at least once in the title, abstract, and main text of the manuscript. This yielded a total of 2183 papers (Fig. 1).
Search results that included conference abstracts, review papers, minutes from working group papers, corrections, and forewords of issues were excluded in the first round of screening. At this point, 2183 studies broadly considering climate and health through empirical research were identified (Fig. 1). A descriptive analysis of the thematic areas of these studies was performed, which included a manual review of each paper to ascertain whether the analysis related directly to health and climate. As this review paper specifically focuses on the intersection between specific, diagnosable diseases and meteorological variables through the use of statistical methodologies such as regressions, time series analysis, and distributed lag nonlinear models, generalized additive models with Poisson distribution, the second round of manual screening excluded all papers on broader health issues such as thermal comfort, thermal stress, fertility, and balneotherapy. Thermal comfort and stress have been the focus of prior reviews (e.g., Vanos et al. 2010; Baruti et al. 2019), and whilst certain diseases are precipitated and exacerbated by thermal stress, it is not independently considered a disease. Likewise, whilst issues of fertility may be exacerbated or triggered by the climate, this review only considers cases where specific diagnosed diseases are considered. Although balneotherapy was one of the key areas of interest in early health biometeorology (McGregor 2012), it is focused largely on general well-being rather than a specific disease, and so these themes have likewise been excluded even where balneotherapy is considered in relation to a diagnosed disease if meteorological factors have not been considered.
Of the 2183 studies, initially identified, only 77 were retained following this exclusion process (Fig. 1). This was then proceeded by manually reading through the table of contents for each issue of the journal since its inception, identifying all papers related to a specific, diagnosable disease, and meteorological variables. The sample was thereafter narrowed to papers that applied statistical techniques to empirically test the relationship between specific, measured meteorological variables, and diagnosed diseases solely. A total of 823 papers were initially identified through this process (Fig. 1). After careful consideration of each of the 823 papers, based on the exclusion criteria that were applied to the papers identified on the SpringerLink search, of these, 720 papers were excluded (Fig. 1). This brought the total down to 103 papers (Fig. 1). These papers were then manually read to determine whether they were indeed studies related to a specific disease and meteorological variables. Those that met the inclusion criteria were then captured in the database, according to the authors, year of publication, country, continent, meteorological variable, disease, and whether or not there was statistical significance. The two databases were then combined, and duplicates were removed. After careful inspection a final total of 180 papers remained in the database (Fig. 1). This represents 4.13% of the 4357 published papers in the International Journal of Biometeorology as of April 2022.
The 180 papers were manually coded, extracting and recording details on the diseases that were examined, in which country, with which meteorological variables, and in which year, to establish any spatial, thematic, and temporal trends in health biometeorology publications in the journal. The results of these findings have been displayed in tables, maps, and graphs, similar to those of Sheridan and Allen (2017) and Fitchett (2021). Additionally, a bibliometric network visualization was produced using VOSviewer, through the manual compilation of the same list of 180 papers. VOSViewer then generated a network visualization of the clustered articles. The nodes in the network are coloured based on their cluster membership, and the edges indicate the strength of the relationships between the nodes. The size of the nodes represents the number of articles associated with that membership. This review paper aims to track the bibliometric trends in the literature, and therefore it does not present a critique of the papers or review their approach or findings; rather, it aims to explore the publication trends within this theme of the journal.
Results and discussion
Publication trends
A total of 2183 papers in the International Journal of Biometeorology published between 1957 and 2022 make mention of ‘human health’ at some point in the title, abstract, or manuscript, representing a substantial 50.2% of papers in the journal. Papers that explored thermal comfort account for 32.4% (n = 708) of this total, whilst publications assessing balneotherapy account for 5.4% (n = 117). There have been special issues in the journal dedicated to Balneology (Volume 64, Issue 6, June 2020) and the Universal Thermal Climate Index (Volume 56, Issue 3, May 2012 and Volume 65, Issue 9, September 2021). There is an overall increase in publications on climate and human health in the journal over the period 1957–2012. This coincides with changes in the total number of papers in the journal (Sheridan and Allen 2017). The increased number of issues per volume during the 2000s, from four issues a year until 2004, consist of 10–18 papers to six issues until 2012, and thereafter 12 issues which coincide with the months of the year (Fig. 2). These increases in health publications coincide with the inception of the constitution of the climate and human health commission (CHC) proposed in 2005 at the International Congress on Biometeorology in Germany (Fdez-Arroyabe and Robau 2017). Since its inception, the CHC has held a total of six meetings to date in 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, and 2014 (Fdez-Arroyabe and Robau 2017). These patterns are also consistent with the temporal patterns in the total number of papers on human health in the journal over this period, attributed to advancements in technologies, moving to online publications and reviews, and the move to the Editorial Manager system in 2006 (Sheridan and Allen 2017).
The 180 papers that empirically explore the statistical relationship between meteorological variables and diagnosed disease case numbers, and which form the focus of this review (Table 1), represent 4.1% of the total 4350 papers published in the International Journal of Biometeorology since its inception in 1957 and 8.26% of the total 2183 papers that mention ‘human health’.
Over the first three decades of the journal, only 21 publications (11.7%, n = 180) focused on a specific disease in the context of a meteorological variable (Fig. 2). As is the case for all papers on climate and health generally, from the early 2000s there has been a considerable increase in studies that use statistical methodologies to assess the relationships between climate and human health, aligning with the findings of McGregor (2012), with 18 published in 2017 alone (Fig. 2). Before this, the highest peak for 1 year at five papers (2.8%, n = 180) was for 1988 (Fig. 2). These outcomes are ascribed to the journal’s overall rise in articles as a result of its rise in the number of issues per volume. The increase in health and climate publications in the journal may potentially also be in response to disease outbreaks. Following 1988, there was the COVID-19 pandemic from 2020,the Zika virus epidemic in South America in 2015, and the Ebola outbreak in central Africa in 2015. There are 39 papers on COVID-19 and the Zika virus in the journal that were published after 2015. Health and climate publications substantially increased during this time.
Geographical distribution of the research regions
The 180 papers empirically studying climate and health since the inception of The International Journal of Biometeorology in 1957 to April 2022 are largely concentrated across much of the Northern Hemisphere (Fig. 3). The greatest proportion of the studies have been conducted in Asia (42.2%, n = 180). On the scale of individual countries, the greatest number of studies have been conducted in China (19.4%, n = 180), followed by Japan (8.5%, n = 180). In 2008, the CHC held a meeting in Japan, and in 2019 the International Journal of Biometeorology dedicated a special issue to Asian Biometeorology (Fdez-Arroyabe and Robau 2017), both of which may contribute to the large focus on Asia. These publications focused on a range of diseases. Some included chronic and acute respiratory diseases (24%, n = 75), genetic disorders (2.6%, n = 75), and vector-borne diseases (9%, n = 75) (Table 1).
The second largest continental representation in the published research is in Europe (35.6%). This may be because researchers were predominantly based in Europe before the ISB expanded to other parts of the world. Studies conducted in Europe have been concentrated in Spain (6.1%, n = 180) and Lithuania (3.3%, n = 180). European studies particularly dominated the earlier volumes of the International Journal of Biometeorology (Table 1). This was perhaps as Tromp was from Europe and worked predominantly in this field of research. In 2021, a special issue was dedicated to the first European Biometeorologists’ meeting, following which five papers on climate and health in the region were published. For the same year, however, a greater number of studies were conducted in North America (25), namely the USA (18) and Canada (7). Overall, papers from North America account for 13.3% (n = 180) of papers on climate and health in the International Journal of Biometeorology.
A small proportion of the literature on health biometeorology in the journal originates from the Southern Hemisphere. Only 10 studies have been conducted in Australia, and four in Africa. The latter comprises three studies in Nigeria and one in Kenya, leaving 52 African countries that have not been studied. Studies conducted in Africa compromise 4.1% (n = 180) of all papers in the journal in total. However, whilst this fits proportionately with the journal figures (Fitchett 2021), it is surprising given the heightened disease load in Africa, particularly to climate-sensitive conditions such as malaria, Ebola, and yellow fever (Sen Roy 2018; de Villiers 2021).
Studies based in South America compromise 8.3% of the total 180 papers (Fig. 3). It is interesting to note that although there was a special issue on Latin America/Caribbean Biometeorology in 2018 and a special issue on the Brazilian Congress in 2019, very few of the publications from either special issue explored health biometeorology of specific diseases (Fdez-Arroyabe and Robau 2017).
Diseases under investigation
Across the 180 papers (1957–2022), a total of 14 disease groups were explored: neurological, cardiovascular, skin, rheumatic, intestinal, metabolic, psychiatric, vector-borne, genetic, cerebrovascular, respiratory, renal, and bacterial diseases and others such as measles (Fig. 4). According to WHO (2020) respiratory diseases are the fourth-ranked leading cause of death notably respiratory diseases represented the greatest proportion studied (37.2%, n = 180), with research on all six of the habitable continents, including both chronic respiratory conditions such as asthma and acute respiratory conditions such as influenza. As there has been a lot of research conducted on respiratory diseases and it is well-understood that climate and weather influence their transmission dynamics. These studies, similar to the overall trends, were concentrated in the Northern Hemisphere, with 25 papers on respiratory health from Asia and 23 from Europe (Fig. 4). The dominance of research from Asia in this domain is accounted for, in part, by the SARS and MERS epidemics in the region (Reichert et al. 2004). According to the WHO top 10 causes of death, stroke (a neurological disease) is the second leading cause of death globally; however, only 5% (n = 180) of the studies published in the International Journal of Biometeorology examined strokes.
Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death according to the WHO (2020) and were responsible for 8.9 million deaths globally in 2019. However, studies on cardiovascular diseases such as myocardial infarctions only represent the second most frequently explored group (17.2%, n = 180). This is likely as a result of an increase in research on non-communicable diseases in the twenty-first century and the fact that cardiovascular diseases are the major cause of mortality (Münzel et al. 2022). These were conducted predominantly in Europe (48.4%, n = 15). This is likely due to the ageing population of the region, heightening the vulnerability to these diseases (Murphy 2017).
Studies conducted in South America predominantly explored vector-borne diseases such as dengue and Malaria and intestinal diseases such as diarrhoea which are ranked eighth on the WHO top 10 causes of death lost, due to both socioeconomic and geographical factors (WHO 2020; Ruano et al. 2021). By contrast, whilst most of the disease categories were investigated in Europe, vector-borne diseases were not, again a result of the climatic and geographical factors determining disease prevalence (Roclöv and Dubriw 2020). The four studies for Africa explored measles, malaria, and asthma.
Psychiatric conditions, which represent 6.1% of the total 180 papers, are concentrated in the European region, with none from Africa or South America (Fig. 4). All disease groups were explored in at least one Asian country except for dermatological conditions, which were only investigated in Europe, since the skin is the organ that is exposed to the environment the most (Balato et al. 2014; Richard et al. 2022). Although stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease are the second and third leading causes of death respectively according to the WHO (2020) no studies published in the International Journal of Biometeorology examined chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, these publication trends are interesting as they do not coincide with the WHO top ten list of the leading causes of death globally (Fig. 4: WHO 2020). Cancer is ranked sixth on the list of leading causes of death; however, no study examined cancer.
This review also assessed if the 180 studies conducted respectively yielded any statistical significance between the variable under investigation in each paper. Of the tests for relationships between the disease and specific meteorological variables only 14.4% (n = 180) of the papers being investigated in this review report results that are not statistically significant (Table 1). This may reveal the bias in publication towards only those studies which reveal statistically significant relationships, in the expected direction, that have been recorded in the biometeorological research on phenology (Menzel et al. 2006). If this is the case, it would obscure results of repeated studies that may contest relationships between specific diseases and meteorological conditions, whether generally or for a specific region.
An increasing body of evidence exists regarding how climate change may affect human health, notably the emergence and spread of diseases. Understanding this connection is crucial because it will increase the already heavy burden that diseases place on the country's economy and public health. For instance, heat and acute coronary syndromes, climate change and malaria, solar activity, and chromosome aberrations (Fig. 5). These findings illustrate further that research outputs were situated greatly in China (Asia) and the weather was the dominant meteorological variable, and the majority of the papers utilized statistical methodologies in the form of regression analysis to determine the relationship between climate and health (Fig. 5). Researchers achieved this by utilizing hospitalization data (Fig. 5). Researchers examined the link between temperature and cardiovascular disease in nations like Italy and Korea, and those in the Middle East (Israel) evaluated the link between solar activity and chromosome abnormalities (Fig. 5). Overall diseases differ by demographic and geographic location, and they evolve with time.
A range of meteorological variables is explored across the 180 papers spanning from the year 1957 to April 2022. In each of the disease types, average temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall were most commonly examined (Fig. 6). With the exception of genetic disorders, studies examining all disease categories used the meteorological variable temperature. Whilst only the category of mental/psychiatric diseases used cloud cover as a meteorological variable. Temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity variables were evaluated for both skin conditions and cerebrovascular diseases. All the meteorological variables were examined in studies on respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, but not snowfall. Studies investigating vector-borne diseases looked at the amount of sunshine, the relative humidity, the amount of rain, and the temperature. Temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, and barometric pressure were all evaluated in studies on bacterial and rheumatic diseases (Fig. 6).
Key research directions in biometeorology of health
This review explores the publications that analysed the relationship between specific, diagnosable diseases, and meteorological variables. Since the inception of the journal, there has been an increase in publications that assess the relationship between meteorological variables and diagnosable diseases. This increase in research is imperative in the context of climate change and concerns about the climatic sensitivity of conditions such as COVID-19 (Smit et al. 2020). Warming and increases in humidity are projected to create new habitats for diseases like malaria in Africa (Epstein et al. 1998; Martens 1999), parasitic nematodes in the Arctic (Kutz et al. 2005), West Nile virus (Reisen et al. 2006), Lyme disease in North America (Ogden et al. 2008), and schistosomiasis in China. These projections are largely based on studies (Zhou et al. 2008). In the East African highlands, for instance, reported altitudinal increases in falciparum malaria over the past 30 years have been linked to rising temperatures and are compatible with theories of anopheline mosquito vector development (Pascual et al. 2006). This will be exacerbated by climate change's effects on the length of seasons.
This review has highlighted that research on climate and health in the International Journal of Biometeorology is highly concentrated in the Northern Hemisphere (Fig. 6), whilst many countries in the Southern Hemisphere carry a greater disease burden (Valodia and Taylor 2022), have an overburdened public health sector, and are projected to experience an above-average rate of climate warming in decades to come (IPCC 2022 6AR). The importance of health research in low- and middle-income nations has been highlighted by recent incidences of developing and reemerging infectious illnesses, commitments to obtaining universal health coverage, and increased interest in global health (Ranabhat et al. 2020). Additional factors to take into account in the context of evolving population health demands include the requirement for contextualized evidence to produce local solutions, innovation to increase efficiency, and the creation of more effective treatment regimens given the rise in drug resistance (Nabyonga-Orem et al. 2021). Contextual elements such as conflict settings (Bowsher et al. 2019), multilayered governance in implementation research (Patel et al. 2017), and rapidly developing digital technologies necessitate ongoing adaptation of health research systems to ensure relevance and effectiveness (Kostkova 2015). Since they are currently the least studied, these nations need the greatest attention both now and in the future. Health research is essential for advancing development, equity, and health (Nuyens 2005). Inadequate financing, infrastructure, and skill levels, disproportionate rates of climate change and lack of adaptation given its unique disease burden as well as poor governance of health research are the key causes of Africa’s subpar research capacity, which has long been a cause for concern (Fig. 5; Chu et al. 2014; Rusakaniko et al. 2019; Simpkin et al. 2019). This may help to explain why so little research is produced; Africa only contributes 2% (Schemm 2013) to global research output and 1.3% to worldwide publications (Uthman et al. 2015). Whilst this can be facilitated through regional conferences, special issues, and collaborative research (WHO 2018; Fitchett 2021), this will also need greater focus in funding for research in these regions.
It is also important that local researchers from African and South American countries be included and involved in this research. The increase in research from the Northern Hemisphere has resulted in the development of strong methodological approaches that can be replicated in studies in regions such as Africa (Sen Roy 2018; Marincola and Kariuki 2020; de Villiers 2021). Whilst it does increase the total research output it often misses nuances (Marincola and Kariuki 2020). Particularly in Africa and South America, key nuances in health related to the prevalence of endemic and regionally occurring diseases (Moreira et al. 2020), such as malaria, Ebola, yellow fever, Zika virus, and chikungunya virus (de Villiers 2021; Roclöv and Dubriw 2020; Ruano et al. 2021). It is therefore critical that collaboration is inclusive, and conducted on the ground, rather than perpetuating parachute science that lacks local context (Stefanoudis et al. 2021).
Whilst research on climate and health has been central to the focus of both the International Society of Biometeorology and the International Journal of Biometeorology, many other journals do publish research on these topics, including but not limited to Health Communication, the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, The Lancet, and Global Health Action, in addition to local and international interdisciplinary journals. This review does not consider those papers, as the aim is to explicitly track trends within the journal. However, these key avenues for future research would be implemented across research published in this much wider range of journals. Important in further developing Biometeorology as a discipline that includes climate and health is raising awareness amongst researchers who are working in this nexus of the International Society of Biometeorology as a forum for engagement, and the International Journal of Biometeorology as an outlet for publication. As an international journal, it is important to strive towards greater and more balanced international representation in published research.
As a factor of the inclusion criteria, all 180 papers considered in this review employed statistical methodologies to quantify the impacts of climate on health (Table 1). This makes the studies more robust than earlier more qualitative assessments of this nexus, but often, it ignores the qualitative or experiential and aetiological aspects of these relationships (Mehta 2022). Firstly, purely statistical and empirical studies do not study the nature of the phenomenon itself; it does not engage with individual items thus making it difficult to infer causation and are limited to correlation only (Musani et al. 2007; Mehta 2022).
Secondly, a wide range of statistical methods is being employed across these studies (e.g., Poisson regression, times series analysis, linear regression, generalized additive models, and distributed-lag nonlinear model). This makes the comparison of results from studies difficult to perform. So, whilst statistical analyses of empirical case data are important, they do not negate the importance of laboratory work in understanding aetiology, and qualitative work on experiential components of seasonality. An important future direction, in this regard, is to employ a less reductive approach and to focus more holistically on the physiological reasons that underpin any relationships found and reported from the data. This would be most effectively achieved through greater collaboration between climatologists, healthcare practitioners, and data scientists. Indeed, this was one of the key aims of the society at its inception (Tout 1987; Sheridan and Allen 2017).
Conclusion
A significant increase in human health papers has been published in the last decade in the International Journal of Biometeorology. Over the full period of publication of the journal, studies dedicated to the intersection between specific, diagnosable diseases and meteorological variables account for only 4.1% of the 4350 works of the journal to date. Although the criteria for this review were specific, the 180 papers analysed are an indication that the International Journal of Biometeorology has indeed stuck to its scope in documenting such studies. Researchers in Europe and Asia have done an excellent job in documenting their studies in the journal since its inception, contributing a combined 77.8% to the total 180 studies. It is important to have more studies explore the extent to which diseases are climate sensitive. Of the 180 papers reviewed, only four (2.22%) studies were based in Africa. A total of 15 (8.3%) studies were based in South America. This means that regionally endemic conditions such as Ebola, yellow fever, and malaria are largely unstudied in this journal. Given a change in climatic conditions, continents such as South America and Africa, which are affected greatly by climate change have minimal to no studies on climate and health. In Africa and South America, dysfunctional health systems and the collision of epidemics of communicable and non-communicable diseases have exacerbated this. The paucity of research on human biometeorology conducted in Africa and South America was exposed by this systematic literature review, which also identified shortcomings that may serve as the basis for future studies. The study had the advantage of making it clear which sectors should receive the majority of the funding for research in the near future. In this way, gaps in publication production can promote the expansion of research in specific subregions of South America and Africa.
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Motlogeloa, O., Fitchett, J.M. Climate and human health: a review of publication trends in the International Journal of Biometeorology. Int J Biometeorol 67, 933–955 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-023-02466-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-023-02466-8