Abstract
The sustainable development goals (SDGs) were established by the United Nations as an international call to eradicate poverty, safeguard the environment, and guarantee that everyone lives in peace and prosperity by 2030. The SDGs aim to balance growth and sustainability in three dimensions: social, economic and environmental. However, in the post-pandemic era, when resources for public development policies are scarce, nations face the problem of prioritizing which SDGs to pursue. A lack of agreement is one of the determinants of low performance levels of the SDGs, and multicriteria decision analysis tools can help in this task, which is especially relevant in developing countries that are falling behind in achieving the SDGs. To test the feasibility and appropriateness of one of these tools, the Fuzzy Logarithm Methodology of Additive Weights, we apply it to prioritize the SDGs in the Dominican Republic, to see if the priorities established are consistent. Seventeen experts were surveyed, and the main result was that Decent work and economic growth was the most important goal for the country. Our findings, consistent with the literature, show the path to similar applications in other developing countries to enhance performance levels in the achievement of the SDGs.
Similar content being viewed by others
Introduction
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development was approved by the United Nations General Assembly in 2015 to promote sustainable development1. Considered a remarkable achievement of the international community, it was regarded an unprecedented global commitment2. In fact, it was negotiated and ratified by the immense majority of countries in the world and included in its mediation process other public bodies, civil society organizations and the private sector, who shared its global vision of the world3.
Shortly after the 2030 Agenda began to be implemented, it became clear that the needs of states were going to change from the design of the required institutional arrangements and procedures to the implementation of real actions4. This is even more evident now that we are halfway through the implementation period of the 2030 Agenda.
The most identifiable aspect of the 2030 Agenda is the 17 sustainable development goals (SDGs), which comprise 169 targets to be pursued from 2015 to 2030. They cover a wide range of sectors and challenges, from poverty and inequality to climate change, peace and global governance5. Such coverage reflects its scale and profound ambition but also explains the difficulties in its implementation and the consequent lack of critical pathways to success6.
If the main purpose of the Agenda, as declared, is to inform and orient public policies and private interventions, the identification of key SDGs able to mobilize both synergies between actors and funding is critical. In this context, prioritizing is paramount, given that the resources available are limited. For any country, the prioritization of goals and targets to be pursued will depend on the situation of each of the almost all-encompassing areas covered by the Agenda7. Policymakers find it difficult to translate the global goals stated in the Agenda into priority actions to be undertaken in their countries8. There is a risk that countries, especially those with a lower endowment of technical resources, prioritize SDGs and targets with arbitrary methods, following paths already trodden with limited success, choosing those targets easier to achieve9, or those in line with their development policies10. Thus, the international community is assuming that not all SDGs will be addressed in all countries, which calls for sectoral and geographical concentration of efforts11.
Several factors make the prioritization of the SDGs and targets especially difficult. First, the Agenda is multisectoral12. Second, its implementation should occur at different geographical and institutional levels13. Third, different types of stakeholders are involved14. Fourth, the SDGs are integrated and indivisible, i.e., they form a coherent and almost all-encompassing system of goals that countries should seek without renouncing any of them1. However, SDGs at the territorial scale are influenced by cultural, educational, and economic-social elements of the territory, which implies that many of the SDGs must be contextually ignored due to these constraints15. Fifth, the complexity generated by the multiple interactions among goals and targets is especially relevant4,16,17. Resolving current trade-offs between the SDGs to maximize synergies is crucial to guarantee their achievement18.
Additionally, COVID-19 has added more complexity to the implementation of the Agenda, firstly, because developed countries decided to redirect their efforts toward domestic needs. Secondly, because the limited endowment of public resources (financial and technical) in developing countries has forced the allocation of funds to fight the pandemic, often at the expense of other purposes19, so perhaps it should be adapted to address this type of global crisis20. Given their scarce endowment of resources and capabilities, developing countries will re-evaluate their priorities vis-a-vis the management of the pandemic and subsequent recovery strategies21,22. These facts add to a situation where international finance for development processes was already stagnant23.
In summary, the implementation of the Agenda in each country can be regarded as a decision-making problem in a complex context, which is especially difficult in developing countries with multiple and interacting criteria. This problem needs to be addressed with adequate tools able to address this complexity, such as multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques24. The use of fuzzy techniques is especially relevant because of their ability to address the vague, imprecise and subjective judgments needed to prioritize the components of the 2030 Agenda.
MCDA is based on the selection/ranking of the best alternative among the proposed alternatives using decision criteria that need to be prioritized. There are different methods for prioritizing criteria and/or alternatives, such as the Simple Multiattribute Ranking Technique (SMART)25, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)26, Analytic Network Process (ANP)27, Best Worst Method (BWM)28,29, FUll COnsistency Method (FUCOM)30,31, goal programming32,33 and Logarithm Methodology of Additive Weights (LMAW)34,35,36.
Early enough37, it was understood the need for multicriteria methods to model the long-term planning of SDGs at the country level. Since then, several MCDA methods have been widely used concerning the 2030 Agenda for various purposes and in different ways.
Often, MCDA is used to measure the progress (for example, of a country) toward achieving the 2030 Agenda or the SDGs38,39. However, it is also possible that the connection between the 2030 Agenda and MCDA methods is more related to their role in decision-making. In this regard, and according to8, the Agenda and its SDGs can play three different roles when using an MCDA method: as criteria, for example, to prioritize projects or actors; as focus areas, providing the scope, context or research questions; and as alternatives. In this research, we refer to the latter.
Sousa et al.24 conducted a systematic review of the literature on the application of MCDA to the 2030 Agenda. They analyzed 143 papers, and apparently, only 5 dealt with all the SDGs, 13 with multiple SDGs, and the rest with only one SDG. The most frequently used method is AHP (73 papers), followed by Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) (31 papers).
From those 5 that address all the SDGs, we found that40 do not actually involve the 2030 Agenda or its SDGs in their analysis. On the other hand41, prioritized SDGs 1–15 in Turkey using neutrosophic Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS) (a fuzzy technique) and the opinions of 3 experts, with 4 criteria and 15 subcriteria. Oliveira et al.16 prioritized 32 targets (leaving out SDG 17, Partnerships of the goals) in Brazil, with 8 experts and 3 criteria; they used fuzzy AHP combined with other non-MCDA methods. Resce and Schiltz42 do not prioritize but measure the performance of the 17 SDGs in the European Union, using secondary data as inputs of the Hierarchical Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis (HSMAA) method (they do not use criteria). Finally, 43 use secondary data with the opinions of 167 experts to prioritize all the targets of the 2030 Agenda in Switzerland. They combined AHP with other non-MCDA methods, but AHP is not used to prioritize SDGs but rather to decompose the decision into a hierarchy of more easily comprehensible subproblems.
Apart from the 5 papers quoted by24, 8 prioritized the SDGs (except SDGs 13, Climate action, and 17, Partnerships for the goals) in relation to climate action at the global level, with 31 experts, using a fuzzy version of TOPSIS combined with a non-MCDA method. Ranjbari et al.21 combined the BWM and a fuzzy inference system with a Delphi consultation with 19 experts to prioritize SDG targets in Iran with 4 criteria; after a filtering process, they prioritized targets from 10 SDGs. Toth et al.14 applied the ANP to re-evaluate the priorities calculated using secondary data with a non-MCDA method by Weitz et al.4 regarding 2 targets per SDG (34 targets in total) in Sweden, with 2 criteria. Deveci et al.44 prioritized SDGs that have more influence on the mining industry at the global level using the ordinal preference approach (a rough sets method) with inputs from 78 experts. This method does not use criteria to rank the elements, so in this case, the authors asked respondents to state their judgment on the level of importance of each SDG on a linguistic scale from very low to very high, without including any criteria to be considered in this judgment. Koasidis et al.45 prioritized the SDGs (except SDGs 13, Climate action; 16, Peace, justice and strong institutions, and 17, Partnerships for the goals) in relation to climate action in Kenya by applying a fuzzy version of TOPSIS to a group of 23 experts with 4 criteria.
From this review, we can see that most research papers use fuzzy methods to prioritize all or most of the SDGs, with a number of experts ranging from 3 to 167 and from 4 to 15 criteria, in a variety of geographical contexts, from developed countries (Sweden or Switzerland) to developing countries (Kenya, Brazil or Iran). Nevertheless, none of these studies prioritized the 17 SDGs in a developing country.
The participation of high-level stakeholders in an experiment of this kind, especially in a developing country, requires that the method used is not “cumbersome” nor time-consuming. We wonder if it is possible to use a single but robust method that is cost-efficient, accessible, versatile and user-friendly for bureaucracies with limited capacities and applicable to experts on the 2030 Agenda in a developing country to prioritize the implementation of the 17 SDGs.
Therefore, the main objective of this paper is to test the feasibility and appropriateness of the F-LMAW method and to illustrate its application with high-level experts in a developing country, the Dominican Republic (DR), to determine whether the priorities established by the experts are consistent.
The first contribution of this study is related to the method: our contribution shows the application of a relatively new method to an especially complex topic, such as the SDGs of the 2030 Agenda, characterized by its multi-dimensional nature, with conflicting objectives and various levels of implementation. The second contribution is showing the applicability of the method, as it opens the participation to stakeholders with different institutional backgrounds, something especially relevant in developing countries like those in Latin America, with agenda and time constraints. The third contribution is linked to the case study, DR: we acknowledge that this is a specific study, but given the selection reasons explained in “Materials and methods”, and although these results are not immediately generalizable to all Latin American countries, they likely reflect the situation in other middle-income and developing countries in a similar situation to the Dominican Republic, with high levels of national income with deep social inequalities. In any case, the application of the method to the case study is perfectly replicable in any country where there is a group of experts on the implementation of the 2030 Agenda available to participate. In fourth place, and regarding the results, now that we are halfway through the implementation period of the 2030 Agenda, the use of this type of sophisticated tool can be very relevant, especially in developing countries. It offers an agreed agenda to foster collective action.
The following section will address the methods and materials used in this research. “Results” section presents the results applying the method, which are discussed in “Discussion” section. The conclusions are presented in “Conclusions” section.
Materials and methods
The LMAW method was introduced in the literature by Pamučar et al.35. LMAW was adapted by applying triangular fuzzy numbers by Božanić et al.46. The fuzzy version uses linguistic descriptors that are translated into fuzzy numbers (see Table 1).
The main advantages of this method, which led us to choose it, are that it is more stable and reliable than methods based on similar principles (for example, TOPSIS); it does not cause problems of rank reversal (see below); the mathematical framework of the method remains the same regardless of the number of alternatives and criteria, being applicable to real-life situations with a high number of criteria; the same method is applied to weight criteria and rank alternatives, and it is sensitive to changes in the weights of criteria35.
For space reasons, a detailed description of the method is included in the Supplementary Information, but Table 2 summarizes the processing steps of the method, the equations used, and the result tables obtained at each step, including the sensitivity analysis.
Sensitivity analysis can be defined as the stability or behavior of the solution against small changes in preferences that occur during the solution process or minor changes in the values received for parameters47. There are various sensitivity analysis techniques, some of which are applied here48. In this case, the analysis tries to examine whether any change in the parameters of the model influences the ranking of the alternatives, to ensure the stability and robustness of the application49.
Firstly, we propose a weight sensitivity analysis, which is carried out by altering the weights of the most important criteria to determine how the suggested model affects the ranking performance50 (see Supplementary Information).
Secondly, adding new alternatives to the initial set or removing nonpreferred alternatives from the set are two strategies for testing the stability of MCDA models. In such cases, it is desirable that the MCDA technique not significantly affect the order of the alternatives. The “rank reversal problem” is the name given to this phenomenon and has been extensively discussed in the literature51,52,53. Creating dynamic matrices and analyzing the model’s reaction under the newly formed conditions is one method for evaluating the validity of the conclusions drawn from the decision-making model.
Thirdly, in many complex decision environments, sensitivity analysis is also performed by comparing the results of a model with those of other available and well-structured methods to examine the robustness and reliability of the ranking scores of the alternatives54,55,56. It explains how various MCDA methods can provide equivalent or dissimilar ranking scores by calculating the correlation coefficient between them.
Regarding the case study, the choice of the country is based on criteria of relevance, representativeness and accessibility to information. Firstly, the country has demonstrated its commitment to the Agenda as a planning horizon and state policy. It has aligned its policies with the SDGs and developed planning tools. On the other hand, it is a country that shares many of the structural problems of the region. Although it has relatively high development rates, it maintains high levels of inequality. In this sense, it has the potential to act as a disseminator of its experience. Finally, access to information sources has been a determining factor. The country’s history in the development of instruments and the authors’ previous experience allowed them to contact some of the national officials responsible for implementation, which represents an added value to this research.
The implementation of the 2030 Agenda in DR shows uneven progress with structural weaknesses. Two events in 2020 influenced the process: the pandemic and the change in government following the legislative elections in June.
Both aspects, critical to a successful implementation of the Agenda, call for multilevel and multistakeholder reflection to better understand the priorities of the DR in the years to come. The interview process described below attempts to show how this reflection could take place.
During July, August and September 2022, 9 public servants (PS) and 8 representatives of NGOs and International Cooperation (NGO/IC) institutions involved in the implementation of the 2030 Agenda in DR answered an online questionnaire about the priority of the 17 SDGs, which were classified into three areas: social (SDGs 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 10), economic (SDGs 7, 8, 9, 11, 12) and environmental (SDGs 6, 13, 14, 15). SDGs 16 and 17 are considered cross-cutting, and although they were prioritized with the rest, they were not included in any of the three areas57. The research was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Universidad Loyola Andalucía, following its guidelines and regulations. Informed consent was obtained from all participants.
The evaluation criteria used to evaluate the alternatives, the SDGs and the three areas were relevance (C1), urgency (C2), convergence (C3), alignment (C4) and independence (C5). Their meanings are explained in Table 3. These criteria were discussed and agreed upon with the participants, who considered them relevant for the analysis. The relevance criterion must be understood as the importance that the experts think the area or the SDG should have for the country (therefore, this criterion has a normative role). The same occurs with urgency, whereas the last three criteria refer to the actual situation in the country (descriptive role). It was made clear to the experts that when the criteria convergence and alignment refer to policies/plans/partners, it was required that they are being implemented or working, not merely stated on paper.
The respondents were heads of departments or similar positions (9), representatives of their institution in the country (2), and technical specialists on the Agenda or some of its main areas (6). Given their positions, it can be said that the respondents’ opinions about the Agenda are likely to be well founded on their knowledge about it.
Results
The F-LMAW method is applied in three stages: weighting of the evaluation criteria, weighting of social, economic and environmental areas, and SDGs ranking. Then, a sensitivity analysis is performed.
Weighting of evaluation criteria
The first matrix is generated based on the linguistic evaluation provided by the experts to the criteria (see Supplementary Tables S7 and S8). Then, the relationship between each element of the priority vectors of the five criteria and the absolute anti-ideal point (AIP) was defined. For this purpose, \({\widetilde{\gamma }}_{AIP}=\) (0.5 0.5 0.5) was adopted (see Supplementary Table S9). The values of the weight coefficient vectors of the criteria are given in Supplementary Table S10. The final weighted coefficients of the criteria and their normalized values are given in Table 4.
Weighting of social, economic and environmental areas
The first decision matrix of the three areas is presented in Supplementary Table S3, based on the linguistic evaluations for the three dimensions (Supplementary Table S1). The normalized decision matrix is presented in Supplementary Table S5. The weighted normalized matrix is shown in Supplementary Table S12. The final index values Qi of the dimensions were calculated by applying Supplementary Eq. (8). In this case, the most important area is social (Qi = 4.2402), followed by economic (Qi = 4.2390) and environmental (Qi = 4.1602) (Supplementary Table S14).
Ranking the SDGs
The first decision matrix is presented in Supplementary Table S4, based on the linguistic answers of the experts (Supplementary Table S2). The normalized decision matrix is displayed in Supplementary Table S6, and the weighted normalized matrix is displayed in Supplementary Table S13. The final index values of the alternatives were also determined by applying Supplementary Eq. (8). These values were considered to determine the SDGs’ final ranking, shown in Table 5.
An independent sample Student’s t-test was applied to determine whether there was a significant difference between the scores of PS and NGO/IC experts. The analysis (sig. (2-tailed) = 0.982 > 0.05) revealed that there was no significant difference.
Sensitivity analysis
A three-step sensitivity analysis was performed to test the stability and sensitivity of the proposed method. In the first stage, the effect of changing the criteria weights on the ranking results was examined to ensure the stability and robustness of the application. Next, the effect of the rank reversal matrix was tested. Finally, four MCDA techniques were applied and compared with the results of the proposed method.
In relation to the first analysis, the \({\alpha }_{c}\) value of the weighting coefficient of the most important criterion (here, C1) is taken as 1. It is estimated using Supplementary Eq. (9) and shown in Supplementary Table S15. Then, the weight change limits (∆x) for the C1 criterion are calculated. They lie between − 0.2142 and 0.7858. For the first scenario, the minimum value of ∆x = − 0.2142 is taken, and in each subsequent scenario, the minimum value is increased by 0.05 until the maximum value of ∆x = 0.7858 is reached, and Supplementary Eqs. (11) and (12) are used, as shown in Supplementary Table S16. New weights were calculated with 22 sets of scenarios. The rankings obtained by recalculating the priorities of the SDGs with the 22 weight sets are given in Fig. 1.
Figure 1 shows that assigning different weights to criteria across 22 scenarios causes a change in the ranking of all SDGs. Thus, it has been verified that the model is sensitive to changes in weight coefficients.
Second, a test was run that considered the model’s resilience to the rank reversal problem. Sixteen scenarios were constructed for the test in which the modification of the decision matrix components was simulated by subtracting one SDG each time to create a new scenario. The SDGs are then rated using the F-LMAW approach, with Sc0 being the original ranking. SDG14, Life below water, ranked last in the original scenario, is eliminated in Sc1. The remaining 16 SDGs are then ranked again. A total of 16 situations (Sc1–Sc16) are produced by removing the last SDG from the group in each subsequent scenario. The results show that the remaining SDGs maintain the same order of prevalence in the resulting rankings, proving that the F-LMAW model delivers reliable rankings and is strongly resistant to the rank reversal problem (see Fig. 2).
A comparison study using other MCDA techniques was performed to determine the stability of the ranking. Widely used approaches, such as F-SAW58, F-TOPSIS59, F-WASPAS60, and F-ARAS61, were used. The results of these methods are shown in Fig. 3.
Spearman Rank Correlation was used to compare the ranking performances obtained by different methods. With a correlation value higher than 0.98 (see Supplementary Table S17) between the other four MCDA techniques and the F-LMAW approach, the ranking obtained was verified and reliable.
Discussion
The most important criterion was relevance (C1), followed by urgency (C2). They are the only criteria that reflect the subjective priorities of the experts. The lowest priority criterion is alignment, which measures the link between an SDG or area and initiatives from the Central American region. Thus, this result confirms a certain disaffection of Dominican bureaucracies regarding Central American regional institutions. It is a question of identity, distrust and a still insufficient shared history. It is not reciprocal because regional institutions distribute resources equitably, and practically all Central American Integration System (SICA) institutions have Dominican public servants62. Notably, the DR was the last to join the SICA and is the only country physically out of the isthmus. Criterion C5, independence, was fourth in priority. Some experts noted that the main factor here was the low endowment of technical resources rather than a lack of financial means.
Regarding the areas, Environmental receives the lowest priority. As is the case for most small developing countries, they feel that they are more victims of the pollution of others than polluters and, therefore, their investment in this area may yield scarce results8,63.
The Social area was found to be more important for the country, although many of the SDGs included in it also have an economic profile. Nevertheless, the most prioritized goal is SDG8, Decent work and economic growth, expressing the concern of the respondents about the need to generate income for the country to address the different challenges it is facing, exacerbated by the pandemic. We can translate these results as a will to generate economic growth but with a clear social outlook consistent with the most recent declarations of public bodies in the country.
Thus, it is slightly surprising that the Economic area did not rank first, especially because 7 of the 17 experts were public servants of two ministries with an economic scope. Although experts from more socially involved institutions, such as NGOs, showed an evident and understandable bias toward the Social area, the answers of these 7 experts also reflected a concern for social issues. The fact that 3 of the 6 SDGs in the Social area have a clear link to the economy (SDG1, No poverty; SDG2, Zero hunger; and SDG10, Reduced inequalities) may also explain this circumstance11,64.
Regarding the ranking of the SDGs, most experts declared that prioritizing SDGs and areas was a necessary task but that they understood the 2030 Agenda as a whole, with many interactions among goals and targets that they tried to keep in mind during the exercise. For example, if a given SDG may positively impact other SDGs, it should be more important. This fact showed, perhaps, that there was a criterion not considered by the authors: the ability of the SDGs to impact other SDGs. This emerged criterion is consistent with the literature on the field that calls for finding synergies between SDGs9,17,18,65 and points to a deep knowledge of the 2030 Agenda by the respondents.
As mentioned, SDG8, Decent work and economic growth, has the highest priority. Some experts pointed to the country’s high percentage of informal economy and deplorable labor conditions. Additionally, they expressed their concern about the economic stress caused by immigration, which could endanger the economic development of the country. The pandemic has also slowed the achievement of other SDGs, as the last Voluntary National Review on the achievement of the SDGs states66. Their support for this goal is due to the will to improve economic development quantitatively and qualitatively, and to the potential of this goal to impact other goals11. This explains why the public call to the private sector to support the SDGs is a national priority, in line with the potential of innovative businesses as a development lever67.
On the other hand, among the 6 lowest ranked SDGs, 4 are economic (SDG9, Industry, innovation and infrastructure; SDG7, Affordable and clean energy; SDG11, Sustainable cities and communities, and SDG12, Responsible consumption and production). According to the analysis by Forestier and Kim10, these goals are prioritized by 0% of the upper-middle-income countries (UMIs) (DR is classified there by the World Bank).
SDG16, Peace, justice and strong institutions, is ranked second. This finding is consistent with the analysis by Forestier and Kim10, as 20% of UMIs include that SDG in their priorities. Most of the experts commented on the need to strengthen public institutions, which were weakened by corruption. Otherwise, the achievement of other SDGs will be compromised. This shows the experts’ awareness about the crucial role of the public sector in achieving the SDGs, as they are expected to act as orchestrators14.
SDG1, No poverty, and SDG2, Zero hunger, rank third and fourth, respectively. Some experts expressed that poverty exists in the country mainly not because of a lack of wealth but due to its unequal distribution. Therefore, SDGs 1 and 2 should have lower priority than SDG10 (Reduced inequalities). However, the results show that SDG10 is ranked 13th. A possible explanation, suggested by some experts, is that they feel that it is easier to achieve SDGs 1 and 2 than to achieve SDG10, given the corruption already mentioned and the reluctance of the elites to yield power. These results are also consistent with those of10.
The low ranking of SDG14, Life below water, may be because the experts may feel that the country has scarce capacity to improve this goal8 in a situation where DR is already making a comparatively greater effort than the surrounding countries.
Conclusions
The application of F-LMAW to the DR case study provides useful guidance not only on how to set a shared development agenda in the country but also on relevant insights in different fields.
Regarding the main objective, this study highlights that F-LMAW is a helpful tool that can be used to model the implementation of the SDGs as an MCDA problem and can prioritize and rank the SDGs, which is crucial to the successful implementation of the 2030 Agenda21,22,24. Our case study shows how the F-LMAW model delivers reliable findings in a dynamic setting and that it is strongly resistant to the rank reversal problem. It also shows the highest consistency with the other four MCDA techniques, which proves that the ranking obtained with F-LMAW is both verified and reliable.
This is very good news for the field of policy science. The priority and rank of the SDGs and the criteria were determined using the same method in a fuzzy environment in which linguistic descriptors were easier for the respondents to understand, as they somehow reflected the way they thought of priorities. It is worth noting that the experts participating in the experiment felt comfortable answering the questions and understood the need to consider the interactions between goals. The process of collecting their opinions was also found to be useful for them as a learning exercise because they had to reflect on the current situation of different factors that hinder or support the implementation of the SDGs (related to the last three criteria), as well as on the highest priority SDGs according to the needs of DR (related to the first two criteria).
The implementation of the study shows two limitations. First, regarding criteria, there was a criterion not considered by the authors: the ability of the SDGs to impact other SDGs. It was partially covered due to the respondents’ deep knowledge of the 2030 Agenda. However, in future applications, it should be included as a criterion. Second, regarding participants, representatives from the business sectors were absent in the sample. This absence was due to attempts to contact several business sector representatives who did not respond to our inquiries. Given the exceptional circumstances during the pandemic, it was challenging to address this issue. In future research, it would be beneficial to include such stakeholders in the analysis.
Despite these limitations, and although these results are “country-specific,” they are likely to reflect the situation in DR and also in other upper-middle-income and developing countries in a similar situation: high levels of national income with deep social inequalities. Nevertheless, the method is perfectly applicable to any country where a group of experts on the implementation of the 2030 Agenda are available to participate, as it has proven both feasible and advisable.
Data availability
Main data are available as Supplementary Information. The rest of the data are available upon request.
References
United Nations. Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, A/RES/70/1 (UN General Assembly, 2015). https://sdgs.un.org/2030agenda
Helgason, K. S. The 2030 Agenda for sustainable development: Recharging multilateral cooperation for the post-2015 era. Glob. Policy 7, 431–440 (2016).
Sianes, A. Academic research on the 2030 Agenda: Challenges of a transdisciplinary field of study. Glob. Policy https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.12912 (2021).
Weitz, N., Carlsen, H., Nilsson, M. & Skånberg, K. Towards systemic and contextual priority setting for implementing the 2030 Agenda. Sustain. Sci. 13, 531–548 (2018).
Hepp, P., Somerville, C. & Borisch, B. Accelerating the United Nation’s 2030 global agenda: Why prioritization of the gender goal is essential. Glob Policy 10, 677–685 (2019).
Schneider, F. et al. How can science support the 2030 Agenda for sustainable development? Four tasks to tackle the normative dimension of sustainability. Sustain. Sci. 14, 1593–1604 (2019).
Lusseau, D. & Mancini, F. Income-based variation in sustainable development goal interaction networks. Nat. Sustain. 2, 242–247 (2019).
Koasidis, K. et al. Multiple Criteria Decision Making for Sustainable Development 39–74 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-89277-7_3
Allen, C., Metternicht, G. & Wiedmann, T. Prioritising SDG targets: Assessing baselines, gaps and interlinkages. Sustain. Sci. 14, 421–438 (2019).
Forestier, O. & Kim, R. E. Cherry-picking the sustainable development goals: Goal prioritization by national governments and implications for global governance. Sustain. Dev. 28, 1269–1278 (2020).
van Zanten, J. A. & van Tulder, R. Towards nexus-based governance: Defining interactions between economic activities and sustainable development goals (SDGs). Int. J. Sustain. Dev. World Ecol. 28, 210–226 (2021).
Al-Saidi, M. Disentangling the SDGs agenda in the GCC region: Priority targets and core areas for environmental action. Front. Environ. Sci. 10, 1025337 (2022).
Akkucuk, U. & Seckin-Celik, T. In Ethical and Sustainable Supply Chain Management in a Global Context (ed. Akkucuk, U.) 86–98 (IGI Global, 2019). https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-8970-9.CH006
Toth, W., Vacik, H., Pülzl, H. & Carlsen, H. Deepening our understanding of which policy advice to expect from prioritizing SDG targets: Introducing the analytic network process in a multi-method setting. Sustain. Sci. 17, 1473–1488 (2022).
Nilsson, M., Griggs, D. & Visbeck, M. Policy: Map the interactions between sustainable development goals. Nature 534, 320–322 (2016).
Oliveira, A., Calili, R., Almeida, M. F. & Sousa, M. A systemic and contextual framework to define a country’s 2030 Agenda from a foresight perspective. Sustainability 11, 6360 (2019).
Fader, M., Cranmer, C., Lawford, R. & Engel-Cox, J. Toward an understanding of synergies and trade-offs between water, energy, and food SDG targets. Front. Environ. Sci. 6, 410179 (2018).
Kroll, C., Warchold, A. & Pradhan, P. Sustainable development goals (SDGs): Are we successful in turning trade-offs into synergies?. Palgrave Commun. 5, 1–11 (2019).
Fernández-Portillo, L. A., Sianes, A. & Santos-Carrillo, F. How will COVID-19 impact on the governance of global health in the 2030 agenda framework? The opinion of experts. Healthcare 8, 1–25 (2020).
Santos-Carrillo, F., Fernández-Portillo, L. A. & Sianes, A. Rethinking the governance of the 2030 Agenda for sustainable development in the COVID-19 era. Sustainability 12, 7680 (2020).
Ranjbari, M., Shams Esfandabadi, Z., Scagnelli, S. D., Siebers, P. O. & Quatraro, F. Recovery agenda for sustainable development post COVID-19 at the country level: Developing a fuzzy action priority surface. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 23, 16646–16673 (2021).
Elavarasan, R. M. et al. Impacts of COVID-19 on sustainable development goals and effective approaches to maneuver them in the post-pandemic environment. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 29, 33957–33987 (2022).
Sianes, A., Fernández-Portillo, L. A., Toscano-Valle, A. & Pérez-Velasco, E. Heterogeneity in financing for development strategies as a hindering factor to achieve a global agreement on the 2030 Agenda. Humanit. Soc. Sci. Commun. 10, 1–13 (2023).
Sousa, M., Almeida, M. F. & Calili, R. Multiple criteria decision making for the achievement of the UN sustainable development goals: A systematic literature review and a research agenda. Sustainability 13, 4129 (2021).
Lintang, M., Pandiangan, N. & Zubaedah, R. Implementation of the simple multi attribute ranking technique method as a model for decision making in determining the talents and interests of children in continuing education. J. Phys. Conf. Ser. 1899, 012075 (2021).
Panchal, S. & Shrivastava, A. K. Landslide hazard assessment using analytic hierarchy process (AHP): A case study of national highway 5 in India. Ain Shams Eng. J. 13, 101626 (2022).
Fernandez-Portillo, L. A., Nekhay, O. & Estepa Mohedano, L. Use of the ANP methodology to prioritize rural development strategies under the LEADER approach in protected areas: The case of Lagodekhi, Georgia. Land Use Policy 88, 104121 (2019).
Sisto, R., Fernández-Portillo, L. A., Yazdani, M., Estepa-Mohedano, L. & Torkayesh, A. E. Strategic planning of rural areas: Integrating participatory backcasting and multiple criteria decision analysis tools. Socioecon. Plann. Sci. 82(Part A), 101248 (2022).
Fernández-Portillo, L. A., Yazdani, M., Estepa-Mohedano, L. & Sisto, R. Prioritisation of strategies for the adoption of organic agriculture using BWM and fuzzy CoCoSo. Soft. Comput. https://doi.org/10.1007/S00500-023-09431-Y (2023).
Pamučar, D., Stević, Ž & Sremac, S. A new model for determining weight coefficients of criteria in MCDM models: Full consistency method (FUCOM). Symmetry 10, 393 (2018).
Demir, G., Damjanović, M., Matović, B. & Vujadinović, R. Toward sustainable urban mobility by using fuzzy-FUCOM and fuzzy-CoCoSo methods: The case of the SUMP podgorica. Sustainability 14, 4972 (2022).
Soltanifar, M., Tavana, M., Santos-Arteaga, F. J. & Sharafi, H. A hybrid multi-attribute decision-making and data envelopment analysis model with heterogeneous attributes: The case of sustainable development goals. Environ. Sci. Policy 147, 89–102 (2023).
Haq, A., Modibbo, U. M., Ahmed, A. & Ali, I. Mathematical modeling of sustainable development goals of India agenda 2030: A Neutrosophic programming approach. Environ. Dev. Sustain. 24, 11991–12018 (2021).
Demir, G. Küresel Çok Boyutlu Yoksulluk Endeksinin Bulanık LMAW Yöntemi İle Değerlendirilmesi (Evaluation of the Global Multidimensional Poverty Index by Fuzzy LMAW Method). Sos. Bilim. Nicel Araşt. Derg. 2, 67–77 (2022).
Pamučar, D., Žižović, M., Biswas, S. & Božanić, D. A new logarithm methodology of additive weights (LMAW) for multi-criteria decision-making: Application in logistics. Facta Univ. Ser. Mech. Eng. 19, 361–380 (2021).
Pamučar, D., Durán-Romero, G., Yazdani, M. & López, A. M. A decision analysis model for smart mobility system development under circular economy approach. Socioecon. Plann. Sci. 86, 101474 (2023).
Allen, C., Metternicht, G. & Wiedmann, T. National pathways to the sustainable development goals (SDGs): A comparative review of scenario modelling tools. Environ. Sci. Policy 66, 199–207 (2016).
Terra dos Santos, L. C. et al. Integrating environmental, social, and economic dimensions to monitor sustainability in the G20 countries. Sustainability 15, 6502 (2023).
AlArjani, A., Modibbo, U. M., Ali, I. & Sarkar, B. A new framework for the sustainable development goals of Saudi Arabia. J. King Saud. Univ. Sci. 33, 101477 (2021).
Benítez, R. & Liern, V. Unweighted TOPSIS: A new multi-criteria tool for sustainability analysis. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. World Ecol. 28, 36–48 (2021).
Karaşan, A. & Kahraman, C. A novel interval-valued neutrosophic EDAS method: prioritization of the United Nations national sustainable development goals. Soft Comput. 22, 4891–4906 (2018).
Resce, G. & Schiltz, F. Sustainable development in Europe: A multicriteria decision analysis. Rev. Income Wealth 67, 509–529 (2021).
Breu, T. et al. Where to begin? Defining national strategies for implementing the 2030 Agenda: The case of Switzerland. Sustain. Sci. 16, 183–201 (2021).
Deveci, M., Brito-Parada, P. R., Pamucar, D. & Varouchakis, E. A. Rough sets based ordinal priority approach to evaluate sustainable development goals (SDGs) for sustainable mining. Resour. Policy 79, 103049 (2022).
Koasidis, K. et al. Climate and sustainability co-governance in Kenya: A multi-criteria analysis of stakeholders’ perceptions and consensus. Energy Sustain. Deve. 68, 457–471 (2022).
Božanić, D., Pamučar, D., Milić, A., Marinković, D. & Komazec, N. Modification of the logarithm methodology of additive weights (LMAW) by a triangular fuzzy number and its application in multi-criteria decision making. Axioms 11, 89 (2022).
Pamučar, D. & Ćirović, G. The selection of transport and handling resources in logistics centers using multi-attributive border approximation area comparison (MABAC). Expert. Syst. Appl. 42, 3016–3028 (2015).
Demir, G., Chatterjee, P. & Pamucar, D. Sensitivity analysis in multi-criteria decision making: A state-of-the-art research perspective using bibliometric analysis. Expert. Syst. Appl. 237, 121660 (2024).
Qahtan, S. et al. Evaluation of agriculture-food 4.0 supply chain approaches using Fermatean probabilistic hesitant-fuzzy sets based decision making model. Appl. Soft Comput. 138, 110170 (2023).
Yazdani, M., Chatterjee, P., Pamucar, D. & Abad, M. D. A risk-based integrated decision-making model for green supplier selection: A case study of a construction company in Spain. Kybernetes 49, 1229–1252 (2020).
Maleki, H. & Zahir, S. A comprehensive literature review of the rank reversal phenomenon in the analytic hierarchy process. J. Multi-Criteria Decis. Anal. 20, 141–155 (2013).
Mufazzal, S. & Muzakkir, S. M. A new multi-criterion decision making (MCDM) method based on proximity indexed value for minimizing rank reversals. Comput. Ind. Eng. 119, 427–438 (2018).
Stanković, M., Stević, Ž, Das, D. K., Subotić, M. & Pamučar, D. A new fuzzy MARCOS method for road traffic risk analysis. Mathematics 8, 457 (2020).
Yazdani, M., Zarate, P., Zavadskas, E. K. & Turskis, Z. A combined compromise solution (CoCoSo) method for multi-criteria decision-making problems. Manag. Decis. 57, 2501–2519 (2019).
Stević, Ž & Brković, N. A novel integrated FUCOM-MARCOS model for evaluation of human resources in a transport company. Logistics 4, 4 (2020).
Karabašević, D., Ulutaş, A., Stanujkić, D., Saračević, M. & Popović, G. A new fuzzy extension of the simple WISP method. Axioms 11, 332 (2022).
D’Adamo, I., Gastaldi, M., Imbriani, C. & Morone, P. Assessing regional performance for the sustainable development goals in Italy. Sci. Rep. 11, 1–10 (2021).
Kabassi, K., Karydis, C. & Botonis, A. AHP, fuzzy SAW, and fuzzy WPM for the evaluation of cultural websites. Multimodal Technol. Interact. 4, 5 (2020).
Chatterjee, P. & Stević, Ž. A two-phase fuzzy AHP—fuzzy TOPSIS model for supplier evaluation in manufacturing environment. Op. Res. Eng. Sci. Theory Appl. 2, 72–90 (2019).
Turskis, Z., Zavadskas, K., Antucheviciene, J. & Kosareva, N. A hybrid model based on fuzzy AHP and fuzzy WASPAS for construction site selection. Int. J. Comput. Commun. Control 10, 113–128 (2015).
Keršuliene, V. & Turskis, Z. Integrated fuzzy multiple criteria decision making model for architect selection. Technol. Econ. Dev. Econ. 17, 645–666 (2011).
Sianes, A., Santos-Carrillo, F. & Fernández-Portillo, L. A. Agreements and disagreements in the EU’s cooperation policy with Central America. Rev. CIDOB d’Afers Int. 120, 119–145 (2018).
Sezgin, F. H. et al. Do environmental stringency policies and human development reduce CO2 emissions? Evidence from G7 and BRICS economies. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 18, 6727 (2021).
Fuso Nerini, F. et al. Mapping synergies and trade-offs between energy and the sustainable development goals. Nat. Energy 3, 10–15 (2017).
Bandari, R., Moallemi, E. A., Lester, R. E., Downie, D. & Bryan, B. A. Prioritising sustainable development goals, characterising interactions, and identifying solutions for local sustainability. Environ. Sci. Policy 127, 325–336 (2022).
Comisión Interinstitucional de Alto Nivel para el Desarrollo Sostenible. Informe Nacional Voluntario 2021. Crecimiento con equidad y respeto al medioambiente (National Voluntary Review 2021. Growth with Equity and Respect for the Environment) (2021).
Scheyvens, R., Banks, G. & Hughes, E. The private sector and the SDGs: The need to move beyond ‘business as usual’. Sustain. Dev. 24, 371–382 (2016).
Wang, Y. M. & Parkan, C. A general multiple attribute decision-making approach for integrating subjective preferences and objective information. Fuzzy Sets Syst. 157, 1333–1345 (2006).
Zadeh, L. A. Fuzzy sets. Inf. Control 8, 338–353 (1965).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
L.A.F-P.: Conceptualization, Investigation, Supervision, Writing—original draft; G.D.: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing—original draft; A.S.: Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision; F.S-C.: Investigation, Writing—original draft.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
This work was carried out within the research project GlobalGob 2030, supported by the Spanish National R&D&I Plan funded by the Ministry of Science and Innovation under grant number PID2019-104967RB-I00. The authors declare that they have no known competing financial or non-financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
Additional information
Publisher's note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary Information
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
About this article
Cite this article
Fernández-Portillo, L.A., Demir, G., Sianes, A. et al. Setting a shared development agenda: prioritizing the sustainable development goals in the Dominican Republic with fuzzy-LMAW. Sci Rep 14, 12146 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-62790-w
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-62790-w
- Springer Nature Limited